n But recent instances are more likely to reflect
future behavior
n A common technique for that is to use
exponential averaging
u S[n+1] = a T[n] + (1-a) S[n]  ;    0 < a < 1
u more weight is put on recent instances whenever
a > 1/n
n By expanding this eqn, we see that weights of
past instances are decreasing exponentially
u S[n+1] = aT[n] + (1-a)aT[n-1] + ... (1-a)^{i}aT[n-i] +
                 ... + (1-a)^{n}S[1]
u predicted value of 1st instance S[1] is not calculated;
usually set to 0 to give priority to to new processes